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A Note on Wildlife Information Systems

This unit may support the Species Specific Management concept as well as the Wildland Knowledge Base enterprise.

Information is needed in decision making. It is the chief input to any decision system. Little more important than the other parts of the decision-making system, information remains very important.

The general system of general systems theory
The parts of a system often need review:

Wildlife resource decision making, if done well, requires enormous amounts of information.

For example, if there are 500 large creatures in a state and 200 critical factors about each, then there are merely 100,000 things that the average manager must begin to master. Withj needed information on the atmosphere, hydrosphere, lithosphere and a few other components of the biosphere (namely all of the plants and at least 50,000 insects, there are clearly enormous information needs.

I judge that the average faunal resource management decision should require the involvement of at least 80 factors. I judge that less than three "chunks" (21 pieces of information) of information are used in 95% of the decisions. Thus the chances of most decisions being wrong (at least sub-optimal) are very great.

To use all of the needed information is, until recently, unrealistic. For example, consider that a decsion is to be reached in three days. In three days there are only about 2500 available action minutes for a hard-working individual. If one "fact" is gotten and utilized at the rate of 1 per minute (silly, but try the assumption) only 30 species (with their 80 factors each) can be included. This is a very small group, a small part of even a very simple ecosystem. Failure to be adequately inclusive is assured.

There needs to be a way to begin improvement ... or admit to failure ... or the sillyness of continuing to try to complete a task that clearly cannot be achieved. How might we begin?

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Last revision January 17, 2000.